La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Avai v Operario PR
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avai (Local)
Predicción 37.78%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.982%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.90%37.93%37.68%39.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.412.402.5843.86%41.49%41.67%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Operario PR (Visitante)
Predicción 31.93%3.13momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.325%
Kelly -0.480%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.07%31.77%32.05%32.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.922.903.1038.02%34.23%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.29%3.30momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.670%
Kelly -0.971%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.96%30.30%30.27%31.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.043.003.2336.36%32.91%33.33%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.53%E -0.982%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.53%E -0.982%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.93%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.59%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.80%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.80%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.31%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -6.44%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.34%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -2.16%E -0.670%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Bovada | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.67%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 18:43 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.67%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.20%E -3.37%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.77%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -16.02%E -6.09%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -16.70%E -6.07%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-05 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 18:14 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.22%E -4.78%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.22%E -4.78%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.36%E -5.33%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.65%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |