Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Juventude
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 42.97%2.33fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.42%43.02%42.96%45.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.172.182.2550.76%46.13%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juventude (Visit)
Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.567%
Kelly +0.758%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 3.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.12%25.57%25.73%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.503.9830.77%28.45%28.57%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%31.41%31.31%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.943.0535.71%34.04%34.01%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 42.97%; Juventude (Visit): 25.69%; Draw: 31.34%. For Juventude (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.58%EV -5.04%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.20%EV +2.26%E +0.567%K +0.758%G +0.017% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.21%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.78%EV -15.35%E -7.79%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV +0.203%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.33%EV -8.47%E -3.98%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 21:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.65%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.94%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -8.50%E -2.91%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -8.50%E -2.91%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.79%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -8.90%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 21:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 21:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |