L’École des cotes

Atletico Goianiense v Juventude

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

Score final : Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Juventude

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prévision 42.97%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.42%43.02%42.96%45.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.172.182.2550.76%46.13%45.87%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juventude (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.69%3.89cote équitable
EV +2.26%
Avantage +0.567%
Kelly +0.758%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 3.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.12%25.57%25.73%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.503.9830.77%28.45%28.57%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.34%3.19cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.56%31.41%31.31%32.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.942.943.0535.71%34.04%34.01%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.58%EV -5.04%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.20%EV +2.26%E +0.567%K +0.758%G +0.017%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.21%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 21:15
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.78%EV -15.35%E -7.79%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV +0.203%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:10
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 21:05
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 21:05
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 43.33%EV -8.47%E -3.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 21:13
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.65%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 21:06
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.94%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 21:00
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 21:05
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 21:06
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 21:05
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -8.50%E -2.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -8.50%E -2.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:15
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 21:15
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 21:05
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.79%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 21:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -8.90%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 21:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:06
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:05
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 21:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:09
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 21:05
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:11
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:11
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:11
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:06
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:06
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 21:06
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 21:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:10
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 21:15
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 21:11
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 21:10
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 21:11
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-05-03 21:26
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-03 21:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%1.6%2026-05-03 21:25