La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atletico Goianiense v Juventude
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Predicción 42.97%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.42%43.02%42.96%45.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.172.182.2550.76%46.13%45.87%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juventude (Visitante)
Predicción 25.69%3.89momio equitativo
EV +2.26%
Ventaja +0.567%
Kelly +0.758%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.12%25.57%25.73%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.523.503.9830.77%28.45%28.57%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.34%3.19momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.56%31.41%31.31%32.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.942.943.0535.71%34.04%34.01%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.58%EV -5.04%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.20%EV +2.26%E +0.567%K +0.758%G +0.017% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.21%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.78%EV -15.35%E -7.79%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV +0.203%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| BetUS | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Bovada | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.33%EV -8.47%E -3.98%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 21:13 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.65%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.94%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -8.50%E -2.91%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -8.50%E -2.91%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.79%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -8.90%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 21:06 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 21:26 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 21:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |