La scuola delle quote

Atletico Goianiense v Juventude

Inizio: 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

Finale: Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Juventude

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Casa)

Previsione 42.97%2.33quota equa
EV -3.32%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -2.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.42%43.02%42.96%45.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.972.172.182.2550.76%46.13%45.87%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juventude (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.69%3.89quota equa
EV +2.26%
Vantaggio +0.567%
Kelly +0.758%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.12%25.57%25.73%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.523.503.9830.77%28.45%28.57%25.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.34%3.19quota equa
EV -4.42%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.56%31.41%31.31%32.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.942.943.0535.71%34.04%34.01%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.58%EV -5.04%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.20%EV +2.26%E +0.567%K +0.758%G +0.017%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.21%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 21:15
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.78%EV -15.35%E -7.79%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV +0.203%E +0.052%K +0.070%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:10
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 21:05
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 43.08%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -7.87%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 21:05
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 43.33%EV -8.47%E -3.98%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.37%E -0.623%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 21:13
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.65%E -0.974%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 21:06
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.94%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 21:00
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 21:05
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 21:06
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 21:05
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -8.50%E -2.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -8.50%E -2.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:15
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 21:15
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 21:05
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.79%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 21:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -8.90%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.79%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 21:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 21:06
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:05
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:05
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:05
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.26%E -4.38%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 21:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 21:09
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 21:05
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:11
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:10
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:11
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 21:11
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:06
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:06
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 21:06
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.06%E -3.51%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 21:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 21:10
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -15.21%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 21:15
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 21:11
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 21:10
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.50%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -16.50%E -5.08%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 21:11
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%0.8%2026-05-03 21:26
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-05-03 21:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%1.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%1.6%2026-05-03 21:25