Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atletico Goianiense v Ceará

2026-09-10 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prediction 50.44%1.98fair odd
EV -7.69%
Edge -4.20%
Kelly -9.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.32%50.44%50.44%50.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.831.8357.47%55.63%54.64%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ceará (Visit)

Prediction 21.62%4.63fair odd
EV -5.96%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.39%21.62%21.62%21.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.234.354.3525.00%23.66%22.99%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV -6.41%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.71%27.94%27.94%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.283.353.3531.75%30.52%29.85%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 50.44%; Ceará (Visit): 21.62%; Draw: 27.94%. For Ceará (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.35, with an expected value of -5.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 01:15
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 01:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 01:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 01:14
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 01:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 01:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.84%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -5.96%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 01:14
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.20%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 01:14
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.38%EV -10.72%E -6.05%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.52%EV -11.22%E -6.37%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 01:14
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.67%EV -11.72%E -6.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -12.23%E -7.03%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -13.53%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.00%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 01:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -12.23%E -7.03%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -13.53%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.00%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 01:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.