StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atletico Goianiense v Ceará

Matchstart: 2026-09-10 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Atletico Goianiense 2–1 Ceará

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atletico Goianiense (Hemma)

Prognos 53.65%1.86rättvist odds
EV -2.36%
Fördel -1.30%
Kelly -2.88%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.52%53.61%53.67%56.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.601.741.731.8262.50%57.49%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ceará (Borta)

Prognos 19.53%5.12rättvist odds
EV +1.58%
Fördel +0.304%
Kelly +0.376%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.43%19.58%19.50%21.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.604.555.2024.39%21.73%21.98%19.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.82%3.73rättvist odds
EV -2.39%
Fördel -0.657%
Kelly -0.905%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.90%26.81%26.83%28.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.393.403.6431.75%29.53%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Atletico Goianiense (Hemma): 53.65%; Ceará (Borta): 19.53%; Oavgjort: 26.82%. För Ceará (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.12. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.20, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.58%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.52%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +1.58%E +0.304%K +0.376%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -14.16%E -8.85%K -23.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV +1.58%E +0.304%K +0.376%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.55%EV +0.995%E +0.192%K +0.239%G +0.002%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.34%EV -2.39%E -0.657%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -0.372%E -0.073%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -0.372%E -0.073%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.33%E -0.465%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.46%E -0.962%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 15:43
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:05
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.88%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.10%EV -4.67%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.57%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.17%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 17:10
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:55
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 15:45
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -8.19%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 15:50
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 15:50
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.46%E -0.962%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 15:50
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 14:48
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:35
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:35
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -15.41%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.41%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -17.95%E -4.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.95%E -4.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.60%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.52%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.67%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.73%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.53%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.73%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.53%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 15:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-09 16:31
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-09 17:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-09 17:25