Langue:Français
Atletico Goianiense v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prévision 53.65%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.52%53.61%53.67%56.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.741.731.8262.50%57.49%57.80%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.53%5.12cote équitable
EV +1.58%
Avantage +0.304%
Kelly +0.376%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 5.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.43%19.58%19.50%21.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.604.555.2024.39%21.73%21.98%19.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.657%
Kelly -0.905%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.90%26.81%26.83%28.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.393.403.6431.75%29.53%29.41%27.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atletico Goianiense (Local) : 53.65% ; Ceará (Visiteur) : 19.53% ; Match nul : 26.82%. Pour Ceará (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.12. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.20, soit une espérance positive de +1.58%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.52%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +1.58%E +0.304%K +0.376%G +0.006% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -14.16%E -8.85%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV +1.58%E +0.304%K +0.376%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.55%EV +0.995%E +0.192%K +0.239%G +0.002% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.34%EV -2.39%E -0.657%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -0.372%E -0.073%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -0.372%E -0.073%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.80%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.33%E -0.465%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.46%E -0.962%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.88%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.10%EV -4.67%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.57%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.17%E -3.03%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -8.19%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.46%E -0.962%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.14%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 14:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -2.36%E -1.30%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -14.05%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -15.41%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.41%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -17.95%E -4.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -17.95%E -4.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.60%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.52%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.67%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -14.19%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.73%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.53%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.73%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -19.91%E -4.86%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.53%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |