Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Botafogo-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 42.78%2.34fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.35%42.85%42.87%45.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.112.102.2751.55%47.41%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botafogo-SP (Visit)
Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV +0.424%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.154%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.88%26.72%26.76%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.453.7531.25%28.62%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.44%3.29fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.55%30.43%30.37%31.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.013.003.1534.72%33.20%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 42.78%; Botafogo-SP (Visit): 26.78%; Draw: 30.44%. For Botafogo-SP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.424%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV +0.157%E +0.042%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -6.85%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.29%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.35%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.29%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.35%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.58%E -6.72%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.45%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.47%EV -2.52%E -0.693%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-25 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 22:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -15.72%E -7.98%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.34%EV -16.15%E -8.24%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.47%EV -16.58%E -8.50%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 21:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 21:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -17.01%E -8.77%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -17.01%E -8.77%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 22:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 22:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -7.59%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-25 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-25 21:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-25 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 22:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 22:22 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-25 22:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-25 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 1.4% | 2026-08-25 22:09 |