Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atletico Goianiense v Botafogo-SP

Início: 2026-08-25 22:30 UTC

Final: Atletico Goianiense 3–0 Botafogo-SP

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Previsão 42.78%2.34odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.35%42.85%42.87%45.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.112.102.2751.55%47.41%47.62%44.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Botafogo-SP (Visitante)

Previsão 26.78%3.73odd justa
EV +0.424%
Vantagem +0.113%
Kelly +0.154%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.88%26.72%26.76%28.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.493.453.7531.25%28.62%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.44%3.29odd justa
EV -4.11%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.55%30.43%30.37%31.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.013.003.1534.72%33.20%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 42.78%; Botafogo-SP (Visitante): 26.78%; Empate: 30.44%. Para Botafogo-SP (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.73. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.424%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV +0.157%E +0.042%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -6.85%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.29%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.35%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.29%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.35%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 22:19
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.58%E -6.72%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.45%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.47%EV -2.52%E -0.693%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 22:04
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 22:03
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -15.72%E -7.98%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.34%EV -16.15%E -8.24%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 22:04
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.47%EV -16.58%E -8.50%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 21:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 21:34
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-25 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -17.01%E -8.77%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -17.01%E -8.77%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:04
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 22:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -7.59%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-25 21:39
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 21:59
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 21:34
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 21:34
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 21:59
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 22:24
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:54
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 22:24
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 22:19
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 22:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 22:22
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 22:00
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 21:59
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 21:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-25 22:25
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-08-25 22:09