Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atletico Goianiense v Botafogo-SP

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-25 22:30 UTC

Score final : Atletico Goianiense 3–0 Botafogo-SP

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prévision 42.78%2.34cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.35%42.85%42.87%45.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.112.102.2751.55%47.41%47.62%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Botafogo-SP (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.78%3.73cote équitable
EV +0.424%
Avantage +0.113%
Kelly +0.154%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.88%26.72%26.76%28.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.493.453.7531.25%28.62%28.99%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.44%3.29cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.55%30.43%30.37%31.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.013.003.1534.72%33.20%33.33%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atletico Goianiense (Local) : 42.78% ; Botafogo-SP (Visiteur) : 26.78% ; Match nul : 30.44%. Pour Botafogo-SP (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.73. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +0.424%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV +0.157%E +0.042%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -6.85%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.29%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.35%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.29%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.35%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 22:19
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.58%E -6.72%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.45%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.47%EV -2.52%E -0.693%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 22:04
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 22:03
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -15.72%E -7.98%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.34%EV -16.15%E -8.24%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 22:04
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.47%EV -16.58%E -8.50%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 21:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 21:34
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-25 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -17.01%E -8.77%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -17.01%E -8.77%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:04
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 22:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -7.59%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-25 21:39
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 21:59
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 21:34
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 21:34
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 21:59
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 22:24
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:54
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 22:24
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 22:19
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 22:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 22:22
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 22:00
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 21:59
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 21:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-25 22:25
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-08-25 22:09