默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Goianiense v Botafogo-SP

开赛时间: 2026-08-25 22:30 UTC

最终结果: Atletico Goianiense 3–0 Botafogo-SP

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Goianiense (主队)

预测 42.78%2.34公平赔率
EV -2.89%
优势 -1.27%
Kelly -2.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.27

博彩公司预测分布
41.35%42.85%42.87%45.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.112.102.2751.55%47.41%47.62%44.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Botafogo-SP (客队)

预测 26.78%3.73公平赔率
EV +0.424%
优势 +0.113%
Kelly +0.154%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
24.88%26.72%26.76%28.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.493.453.7531.25%28.62%28.99%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.44%3.29公平赔率
EV -4.11%
优势 -1.31%
Kelly -1.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.55%30.43%30.37%31.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.013.003.1534.72%33.20%33.33%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atletico Goianiense (主队):42.78%;Botafogo-SP (客队):26.78%;平局:30.44%。 对于“Botafogo-SP (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.73。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.75,对应+0.424%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:04
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV +0.157%E +0.042%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -6.85%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.29%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.35%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.29%EV -10.59%E -5.07%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.35%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 22:19
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -13.58%E -6.72%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.45%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.47%EV -2.52%E -0.693%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 22:04
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 22:03
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -15.72%E -7.98%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.34%EV -16.15%E -8.24%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 22:04
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.47%EV -16.58%E -8.50%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 21:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 21:34
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-25 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -17.01%E -8.77%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -17.01%E -8.77%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 22:04
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 22:04
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 22:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -7.59%E -3.52%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-25 21:39
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 21:59
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 21:34
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.38%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.21%EV -11.12%E -3.81%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 21:34
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 21:59
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 22:24
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:54
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 22:24
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.31%E -4.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 22:19
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 22:00
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 22:22
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 22:00
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 21:59
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 21:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-08-25 22:25
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-08-25 22:09