语言:简体中文
Athletic Club (MG) v Vila Nova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Athletic Club (MG) (主队)
预测 34.68%2.88公平赔率
EV -2.54%
优势 -0.902%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.81
博彩公司预测分布
32.81%34.77%34.55%37.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.322.582.622.8143.10%38.73%38.17%35.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
Vila Nova (客队)
预测 34.31%2.91公平赔率
EV -0.513%
优势 -0.177%
Kelly -0.270%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.90
博彩公司预测分布
31.84%34.22%34.37%36.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.732.712.9040.00%36.60%36.97%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.01%3.22公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -1.25%
Kelly -1.84%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
29.95%31.01%31.08%32.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.972.983.1035.71%33.66%33.56%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Athletic Club (MG) (主队)：34.68%；Vila Nova (客队)：34.31%；平局：31.01%。 对于“Vila Nova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.91。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.90，期望值为-0.513%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.29%EV -2.54%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV -3.94%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -4.49%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.29%EV -2.54%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.42%EV -3.94%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -4.49%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -4.62%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 10:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -4.62%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -14.23%E -5.69%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.42%EV -4.96%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.63%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -7.59%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.42%EV -4.96%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.63%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -7.59%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.37%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 10:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.39%EV -7.72%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 13:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.37%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.17%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.37%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.17%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.37%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.17%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -7.37%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.17%E -4.71%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.59%EV -7.04%E -2.63%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.20%EV -7.03%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.21%EV -7.90%E -2.66%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -5.42%E -1.78%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 10:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 10:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.30%EV -8.78%E -3.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.13%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.37%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -9.13%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.80%E -4.16%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -10.69%E -3.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.37%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.37%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.45%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -10.12%E -3.86%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -10.69%E -3.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.55%E -4.53%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -9.09%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -9.78%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -9.78%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.12%E -3.86%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 10:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -10.12%E -3.86%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -15.02%E -6.13%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -0.513%E -0.177%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 17:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -15.02%E -6.13%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -0.513%E -0.177%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -15.02%E -6.13%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -0.513%E -0.177%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -15.02%E -6.13%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -0.513%E -0.177%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 17:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -15.02%E -6.13%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -0.513%E -0.177%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -15.02%E -6.13%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -0.513%E -0.177%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -15.02%E -6.13%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -0.513%E -0.177%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.87%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -16.76%E -6.98%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -2.23%E -0.782%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.97%E -2.32%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 13:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -18.49%E -7.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -3.94%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -18.49%E -7.87%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -3.94%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.92%EV -19.18%E -8.23%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -8.52%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -19.53%E -8.42%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-04 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -19.53%E -8.42%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -5.66%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-04 13:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.54% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.60% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.86% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |