默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Athletic Club (MG) v Vila Nova

2026-09-04 23:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (1 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Athletic Club (MG) (主队)

预测 40.40%2.48公平赔率
EV -7.09%
优势 -3.08%
Kelly -5.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
40.40%40.40%40.40%40.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.162.252.302.3046.30%44.44%43.48%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Vila Nova (客队)

预测 29.80%3.36公平赔率
EV -6.13%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -2.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.47%29.80%29.80%29.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.083.153.1533.90%32.50%31.75%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.80%3.36公平赔率
EV -6.13%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -2.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.68%29.80%29.80%29.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.073.153.1533.90%32.54%31.75%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Athletic Club (MG) (主队):40.40%;Vila Nova (客队):29.80%;平局:29.80%。 对于“Vila Nova (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.36。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.15,期望值为-6.13%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:05
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:05
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.11%E -4.05%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.13%E -5.06%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.13%E -5.06%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.56%EV -11.93%E -5.47%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.58%EV -12.74%E -5.90%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.71%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.71%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.58%EV -12.74%E -5.90%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.71%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.71%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 00:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。