语言:简体中文
Athletic Club (MG) v São Bernardo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Athletic Club (MG) (主队)
预测 42.21%2.37公平赔率
EV -2.92%
优势 -1.27%
Kelly -2.25%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.30
博彩公司预测分布
40.63%42.36%42.06%43.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.44%46.51%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
São Bernardo (客队)
预测 26.30%3.80公平赔率
EV +2.32%
优势 +0.596%
Kelly +0.802%
增长率 +0.019%
假设最高赔率为 3.89
博彩公司预测分布
24.37%26.11%26.36%27.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.483.483.8930.77%28.72%28.78%25.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.49%3.18公平赔率
EV -0.811%
优势 -0.257%
Kelly -0.377%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.15
博彩公司预测分布
29.43%31.53%31.58%33.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.952.923.1535.71%33.92%34.25%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Athletic Club (MG) (主队)：42.21%；São Bernardo (客队)：26.30%；平局：31.49%。 对于“São Bernardo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.80。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.89，对应+2.32%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.61%EV -4.61%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.75%EV +2.32%E +0.596%K +0.802%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.30%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +1.27%E +0.329%K +0.444%G +0.006% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.20%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.30%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +1.27%E +0.329%K +0.444%G +0.006% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.20%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.38%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.65%EV -10.89%E -3.85%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.63%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -9.94%E -3.48%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -13.89%E -6.81%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -14.74%E -7.30%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 22:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 1.5% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |