La scuola delle quote

Athletic Club (MG) v São Bernardo

Inizio: 2026-07-23 22:30 UTC

Finale: Athletic Club (MG) 2–1 São Bernardo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Casa)

Previsione 42.21%2.37quota equa
EV -2.92%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.63%42.36%42.06%43.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.44%46.51%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

São Bernardo (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.30%3.80quota equa
EV +2.32%
Vantaggio +0.596%
Kelly +0.802%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.37%26.11%26.36%27.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.483.483.8930.77%28.72%28.78%25.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.49%3.18quota equa
EV -0.811%
Vantaggio -0.257%
Kelly -0.377%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.43%31.53%31.58%33.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.952.923.1535.71%33.92%34.25%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.61%EV -4.61%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.75%EV +2.32%E +0.596%K +0.802%G +0.019%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 22:15
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.30%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +1.27%E +0.329%K +0.444%G +0.006%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.20%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 22:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.30%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +1.27%E +0.329%K +0.444%G +0.006%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.20%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 22:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 22:20
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 22:09
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 22:15
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.38%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.65%EV -10.89%E -3.85%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 22:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-23 22:20
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.63%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -9.94%E -3.48%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 22:25
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 22:20
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 22:20
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 22:20
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 22:20
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 22:20
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 22:05
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 22:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 22:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 22:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 22:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 22:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-23 22:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 22:25
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 22:10
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 22:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 22:25
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 22:25
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 22:25
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 22:25
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-23 22:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-23 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 22:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 22:10
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 22:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 21:55
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -13.89%E -6.81%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 22:20
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-23 22:25
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -14.74%E -7.30%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-23 22:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-23 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-23 22:20
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 22:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-07-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-07-23 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-07-23 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-07-23 22:20
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%1.5%2026-07-23 22:25