L’École des cotesFrançais
Athletic Club (MG) v São Bernardo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prévision 42.21%2.37cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.63%42.36%42.06%43.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.44%46.51%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
São Bernardo (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.30%3.80cote équitable
EV +2.32%
Avantage +0.596%
Kelly +0.802%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 3.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%26.11%26.36%27.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.483.483.8930.77%28.72%28.78%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.49%3.18cote équitable
EV -0.811%
Avantage -0.257%
Kelly -0.377%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.43%31.53%31.58%33.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.952.923.1535.71%33.92%34.25%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.61%EV -4.61%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.75%EV +2.32%E +0.596%K +0.802%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.30%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +1.27%E +0.329%K +0.444%G +0.006% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.20%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.30%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +1.27%E +0.329%K +0.444%G +0.006% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.20%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 22:09 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.38%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.65%EV -10.89%E -3.85%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.63%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -9.94%E -3.48%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -13.89%E -6.81%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -14.74%E -7.30%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 22:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 1.5% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |