La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Athletic Club (MG) v São Bernardo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Predicción 42.21%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.63%42.36%42.06%43.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.44%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
São Bernardo (Visitante)
Predicción 26.30%3.80momio equitativo
EV +2.32%
Ventaja +0.596%
Kelly +0.802%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%26.11%26.36%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.483.483.8930.77%28.72%28.78%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.49%3.18momio equitativo
EV -0.811%
Ventaja -0.257%
Kelly -0.377%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.43%31.53%31.58%33.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.952.923.1535.71%33.92%34.25%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.61%EV -4.61%E -2.04%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.75%EV +2.32%E +0.596%K +0.802%G +0.019% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.30%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +1.27%E +0.329%K +0.444%G +0.006% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.20%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.30%EV -6.30%E -2.84%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV +1.27%E +0.329%K +0.444%G +0.006% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.30%EV -11.20%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -1.36%E -0.364%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 22:09 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.38%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.65%EV -10.89%E -3.85%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.68%E -0.724%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -10.26%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.63%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%EV -9.94%E -3.48%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -0.811%E -0.257%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.83%E -4.23%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.99%E -3.66%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.99%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.46%EV -9.63%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -10.52%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 21:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -13.89%E -6.81%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -14.74%E -7.30%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-23 22:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 1.5% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |