Language:English
Athletic Club (MG) v Goiás
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prediction 42.29%2.36fair odd
EV +3.60%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +2.48%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.82%41.99%42.27%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.202.4548.78%45.05%45.45%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV +0.517%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.187%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.97%26.79%31.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.343.303.7633.90%29.95%30.30%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.98%3.23fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.04%30.95%33.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.922.953.1040.00%34.23%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletic Club (MG) (Local): 42.29%; Goiás (Visit): 26.73%; Draw: 30.98%. For Athletic Club (MG) (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV +3.60%E +1.47%K +2.48%G +0.089% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -20.33%E -6.82%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.68%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-12 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -17.13%E -5.52%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -18.46%E -6.05%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.61%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-14 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -5.28%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.59%EV +0.517%E +0.138%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.45%EV -5.20%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.96%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.52%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -9.22%E -3.15%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-14 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -3.96%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.08%E -3.86%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 18:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.08%E -3.86%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -22.55%E -9.02%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -13.31%E -6.50%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -8.61%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |