مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletic Club (MG) v Goiás

البداية: 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletic Club (MG) 1–1 Goiás

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.29%2.36السعر العادل
EV +3.60%
الأفضلية +1.47%
Kelly +2.48%
النمو +0.089%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.82%41.99%42.27%44.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.222.202.4548.78%45.05%45.45%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Goiás (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.73%3.74السعر العادل
EV +0.517%
الأفضلية +0.138%
Kelly +0.187%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.15%26.97%26.79%31.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.343.303.7633.90%29.95%30.30%26.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.98%3.23السعر العادل
EV -3.96%
الأفضلية -1.28%
Kelly -1.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.82%31.04%30.95%33.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.922.953.1040.00%34.23%33.90%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV +3.60%E +1.47%K +2.48%G +0.089%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -20.33%E -6.82%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.68%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 11:20
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -17.13%E -5.52%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 18:39
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -18.46%E -6.05%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 18:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.61%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 18:40
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 18:40
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -5.28%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.59%EV +0.517%E +0.138%K +0.187%G +0.001%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.45%EV -5.20%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 18:50
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-14 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-14 18:40
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-14 18:40
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:40
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:40
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 18:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 18:40
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.96%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 18:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 18:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 18:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 18:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 18:20
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.52%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -9.22%E -3.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 18:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -3.96%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 18:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 18:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 18:40
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 18:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 18:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.08%E -3.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-14 18:31
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.08%E -3.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-14 18:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -22.55%E -9.02%K -15.03%G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-14 18:51
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -13.31%E -6.50%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -8.61%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-06-14 18:50