La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Athletic Club (MG) v Goiás
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Predicción 42.29%2.36momio equitativo
EV +3.60%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +2.48%
Crecimiento +0.089%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.82%41.99%42.27%44.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.202.4548.78%45.05%45.45%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Goiás (Visitante)
Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.517%
Ventaja +0.138%
Kelly +0.187%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.15%26.97%26.79%31.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.343.303.7633.90%29.95%30.30%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.98%3.23momio equitativo
EV -3.96%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%31.04%30.95%33.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.922.953.1040.00%34.23%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV +3.60%E +1.47%K +2.48%G +0.089% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -20.33%E -6.82%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.68%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-12 11:20 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -17.13%E -5.52%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 18:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -18.46%E -6.05%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.61%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-14 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -5.28%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.59%EV +0.517%E +0.138%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.45%EV -5.20%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.96%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 18:20 |
| Bovada | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.52%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -9.22%E -3.15%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-14 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -3.96%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.08%E -3.86%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 18:31 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.08%E -3.86%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -22.55%E -9.02%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -13.31%E -6.50%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -8.61%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |