A Escola das Odds

Athletic Club (MG) v Goiás

Início: 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC

Final: Athletic Club (MG) 1–1 Goiás

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Local)

Previsão 42.29%2.36odd justa
EV +3.60%
Vantagem +1.47%
Kelly +2.48%
Crescimento +0.089%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.82%41.99%42.27%44.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.222.202.4548.78%45.05%45.45%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Goiás (Visitante)

Previsão 26.73%3.74odd justa
EV +0.517%
Vantagem +0.138%
Kelly +0.187%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.15%26.97%26.79%31.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.343.303.7633.90%29.95%30.30%26.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.98%3.23odd justa
EV -3.96%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.82%31.04%30.95%33.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.922.953.1040.00%34.23%33.90%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV +3.60%E +1.47%K +2.48%G +0.089%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -20.33%E -6.82%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.68%E -2.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 11:20
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:40
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -17.13%E -5.52%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 18:39
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -18.46%E -6.05%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 18:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.61%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 18:40
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.80%E -6.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.70%E -4.11%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 18:40
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -5.28%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.59%EV +0.517%E +0.138%K +0.187%G +0.001%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.45%EV -5.20%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 18:50
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-14 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-14 18:40
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -5.70%E -2.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -21.14%E -7.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-14 18:40
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:40
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV +0.250%E +0.067%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.90%EV -8.30%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:40
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 18:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 18:40
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.96%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 18:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 18:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 18:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 18:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.59%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 18:20
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.52%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -9.22%E -3.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 18:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -3.96%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 18:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 18:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-14 18:40
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 18:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.77%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 18:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.25%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.08%E -3.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-14 18:31
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.08%E -3.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-14 18:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.15%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -22.55%E -9.02%K -15.03%G +0.000%18.4%2026-06-14 18:51
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -13.31%E -6.50%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -8.61%E -2.92%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%0.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-06-14 18:50