语言:简体中文
América Mineiro v Vila Nova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
América Mineiro (主队)
预测 42.27%2.37公平赔率
EV -5.73%
优势 -2.57%
Kelly -4.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.23
博彩公司预测分布
41.10%42.25%42.24%43.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.182.202.2347.62%45.78%45.45%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
Vila Nova (客队)
预测 27.56%3.63公平赔率
EV -0.788%
优势 -0.219%
Kelly -0.303%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.76%27.54%27.54%28.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.13%30.30%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.17%3.31公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
29.16%30.21%30.23%31.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.70%32.79%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：América Mineiro (主队)：42.27%；Vila Nova (客队)：27.56%；平局：30.17%。 对于“Vila Nova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.63。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-0.788%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.13%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.15%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 21:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.12%E -4.55%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:08 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |