La escuela de los momiosAmérica Mineiro v Vila Nova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 42.27%2.37momio equitativo
EV -5.73%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -4.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%42.25%42.24%43.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.182.202.2347.62%45.78%45.45%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vila Nova (Visitante)
Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.788%
Ventaja -0.219%
Kelly -0.303%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.76%27.54%27.54%28.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.13%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.17%3.31momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.16%30.21%30.23%31.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.70%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.13%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.15%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 21:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 21:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:09 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.12%E -4.55%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 21:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.11% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-24 21:20 |