La scuola delle quote

América Mineiro v Vila Nova

Inizio: 2026-05-24 21:30 UTC

Finale: América Mineiro 1–2 Vila Nova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

América Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 42.27%2.37quota equa
EV -5.73%
Vantaggio -2.57%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.10%42.25%42.24%43.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.182.202.2347.62%45.78%45.45%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vila Nova (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.56%3.63quota equa
EV -0.788%
Vantaggio -0.219%
Kelly -0.303%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.76%27.54%27.54%28.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.13%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.17%3.31quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.16%30.21%30.23%31.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.70%32.79%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.13%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.15%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:49
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:49
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:49
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 20:50
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 21:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:20
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 21:20
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 21:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 21:10
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 20:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 20:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 21:20
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 20:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 21:20
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 21:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 21:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 21:20
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 21:19
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 21:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:09
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 20:50
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 20:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.12%E -4.55%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 21:20
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:08
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%0.9%2026-05-24 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-05-24 21:20