StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro v Vila Nova

Matchstart: 2026-05-24 21:30 UTC

Slutresultat: América Mineiro 1–2 Vila Nova

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro (Hemma)

Prognos 42.27%2.37rättvist odds
EV -5.73%
Fördel -2.57%
Kelly -4.66%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.10%42.25%42.24%43.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.182.202.2347.62%45.78%45.45%44.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vila Nova (Borta)

Prognos 27.56%3.63rättvist odds
EV -0.788%
Fördel -0.219%
Kelly -0.303%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.76%27.54%27.54%28.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.13%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.17%3.31rättvist odds
EV -3.46%
Fördel -1.08%
Kelly -1.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.16%30.21%30.23%31.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.70%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: América Mineiro (Hemma): 42.27%; Vila Nova (Borta): 27.56%; Oavgjort: 30.17%. För Vila Nova (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.63. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.60, med väntevärdet -0.788%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.13%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.15%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 20:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:10
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 21:19
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 21:20
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:20
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 21:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 20:50
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 21:20
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 20:50
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 21:20
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 21:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 21:20
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 21:20
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 21:19
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 21:20
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:09
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 20:50
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 20:49
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.12%E -4.55%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 21:20
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:08
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%0.9%2026-05-24 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-05-24 21:20