مدرسة الاحتمالات

América Mineiro v Vila Nova

البداية: 2026-05-24 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: América Mineiro 1–2 Vila Nova

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

América Mineiro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.27%2.37السعر العادل
EV -5.73%
الأفضلية -2.57%
Kelly -4.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.10%42.25%42.24%43.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.182.202.2347.62%45.78%45.45%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vila Nova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.56%3.63السعر العادل
EV -0.788%
الأفضلية -0.219%
Kelly -0.303%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.76%27.54%27.54%28.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.13%30.30%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.17%3.31السعر العادل
EV -3.46%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -1.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.16%30.21%30.23%31.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.063.053.2034.72%32.70%32.79%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.13%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.15%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:49
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:49
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:49
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 20:50
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.96%EV -5.73%E -2.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 20:50
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 21:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.92%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:20
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 21:20
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 21:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 21:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.01%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 21:10
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 20:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 20:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 21:20
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.81%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 20:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 21:20
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.788%E -0.219%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 21:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 21:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 21:20
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 21:19
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 21:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:09
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.32%K -6.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 20:50
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -9.53%E -4.46%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -7.99%E -2.62%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 20:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.12%E -4.55%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 21:20
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.23%E -5.35%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.50%E -3.17%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.8%2026-05-24 21:20
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.11%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%0.9%2026-05-24 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.57%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-05-24 21:20