Language:English
América Mineiro v Sport Recife
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 45.63%2.19fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%45.70%45.69%48.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.032.022.1653.48%49.29%49.50%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sport Recife (Visit)
Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +0.650%
Kelly +0.872%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%26.02%26.07%27.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.9330.30%28.46%28.57%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.35%28.27%28.25%29.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.203.4034.72%31.15%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América Mineiro (Local): 45.63%; Sport Recife (Visit): 26.10%; Draw: 28.27%. For Sport Recife (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.31%EV -7.37%E -3.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV +2.55%E +0.650%K +0.872%G +0.022% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.14%E -0.571%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -14.67%E -7.84%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.40%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -7.10%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.40%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 19:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 20:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.58%E -6.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.664%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -12.58%E -3.76%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 20:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |