L’École des cotes

América Mineiro v Sport Recife

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 21:00 UTC

Score final : América Mineiro 0–0 Sport Recife

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

América Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 45.63%2.19cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.664%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.30%45.70%45.69%48.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.032.022.1653.48%49.29%49.50%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sport Recife (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.10%3.83cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +0.650%
Kelly +0.872%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 3.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%26.02%26.07%27.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.9330.30%28.46%28.57%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.27%3.54cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.35%28.27%28.25%29.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.203.4034.72%31.15%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.31%EV -7.37%E -3.63%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV +2.55%E +0.650%K +0.872%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 20:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.14%E -0.571%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:50
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:55
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 20:50
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -14.67%E -7.84%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 20:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:55
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:55
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 20:50
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.40%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -7.10%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.40%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 20:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 19:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:30
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 20:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 20:55
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 19:54
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 20:55
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 20:55
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 20:54
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 19:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 20:55
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 20:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.58%E -6.45%K -9.88%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 20:50
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.664%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -12.58%E -3.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 20:55
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 20:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-04-18 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-04-18 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-04-18 20:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-04-18 20:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-04-18 20:50