La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
América Mineiro v Sport Recife
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 45.63%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.664%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.30%45.70%45.69%48.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.032.022.1653.48%49.29%49.50%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sport Recife (Visitante)
Predicción 26.10%3.83momio equitativo
EV +2.55%
Ventaja +0.650%
Kelly +0.872%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.39%26.02%26.07%27.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.503.9330.30%28.46%28.57%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.27%3.54momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.35%28.27%28.25%29.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.203.4034.72%31.15%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.31%EV -7.37%E -3.63%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV +2.55%E +0.650%K +0.872%G +0.022% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 20:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.14%E -0.571%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -14.67%E -7.84%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| BetUS | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.40%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -7.10%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.40%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 19:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 20:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.58%E -6.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.664%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -12.58%E -3.76%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 20:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |