La scuola delle quote

América Mineiro v Sport Recife

Inizio: 2026-04-18 21:00 UTC

Finale: América Mineiro 0–0 Sport Recife

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

América Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 45.63%2.19quota equa
EV -1.43%
Vantaggio -0.664%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.30%45.70%45.69%48.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.872.032.022.1653.48%49.29%49.50%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sport Recife (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.10%3.83quota equa
EV +2.55%
Vantaggio +0.650%
Kelly +0.872%
Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.39%26.02%26.07%27.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.513.503.9330.30%28.46%28.57%25.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.27%3.54quota equa
EV -3.87%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.35%28.27%28.25%29.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.213.203.4034.72%31.15%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.31%EV -7.37%E -3.63%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV +2.55%E +0.650%K +0.872%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 20:20
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.14%E -0.571%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:50
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:55
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 20:50
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -14.67%E -7.84%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -3.45%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 20:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:55
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:55
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 20:50
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.40%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -7.10%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -8.40%E -2.59%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 20:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 19:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.70%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 19:30
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 20:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 20:55
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 19:54
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -6.00%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 20:55
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 20:55
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 20:54
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 19:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 20:55
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 20:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.58%E -6.45%K -9.88%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 20:50
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -1.43%E -0.664%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -12.58%E -3.76%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.11%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.74%E -4.37%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.53%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 20:55
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -11.02%E -5.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 20:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-04-18 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-04-18 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-04-18 20:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-04-18 20:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-04-18 20:50