The School of Odds

América Mineiro v Londrina

2026-07-13 22:00 — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Option 1: América Mineiro (Local)

Odds
1.8354.64%Min
1.9451.61%Mean
1.9551.28%Median
1.9950.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
46.89%2.133Min
49.51%2.020Max
47.81%2.092Mean
47.54%2.104Median
47.71%2.096IQM
47.81%2.092Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.99 under the IQM model: 47.71%

EV -5.05%Edge -2.54%Kelly -5.10%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Londrina (Visit)

Odds
3.6027.78%Min
3.6927.08%Mean
3.6827.17%Median
3.8525.97%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.84%4.194Min
25.42%3.934Max
24.78%4.036Mean
25.05%3.993Median
24.90%4.016IQM
24.84%4.026Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.85 under the IQM model: 24.90%

EV -4.14%Edge -1.08%Kelly -1.45%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.2031.25%Min
3.3230.12%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.5927.86%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.34%3.797Min
28.80%3.472Max
27.41%3.648Mean
27.42%3.647Median
27.39%3.651IQM
27.36%3.656Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.59 under the IQM model: 27.39%

EV -1.67%Edge -0.465%Kelly -0.645%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAmérica Mineiro (Local) ▼Londrina (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.99I 50.25% NM 47.22%EV -5.05% E -2.54% K -5.10% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.73%EV -5.39% E -1.42% K -1.92% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.05%EV -8.24% E -2.46% K -3.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 17:55
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02% NM 48.24%EV -6.48% E -3.31% K -6.75% G +0.000%3.72I 26.88% NM 25.42%EV -7.38% E -1.98% K -2.71% G +0.000%3.59I 27.86% NM 26.34%EV -1.67% E -0.465% K -0.645% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 18:50
Betsson1.95I 51.28% NM 47.26%EV -6.96% E -3.57% K -7.33% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 23.94%EV -4.14% E -1.08% K -1.45% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.80%EV -12.35% E -3.86% K -5.61% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 17:50
NordicBet1.95I 51.28% NM 47.26%EV -6.96% E -3.57% K -7.33% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 23.94%EV -4.14% E -1.08% K -1.45% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.80%EV -12.35% E -3.86% K -5.61% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 17:44
FanDuel1.95I 51.28% NM 47.22%EV -6.96% E -3.57% K -7.33% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.88%EV -7.88% E -2.13% K -2.92% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.90%EV -9.61% E -2.91% K -4.18% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 17:54
888sport1.95I 51.28% NM 46.89%EV -6.96% E -3.57% K -7.33% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.40%EV -10.37% E -2.88% K -3.99% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -9.61% E -2.91% K -4.18% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 17:54
William Hill1.95I 51.28% NM 46.89%EV -6.96% E -3.57% K -7.33% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.40%EV -10.37% E -2.88% K -3.99% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -9.61% E -2.91% K -4.18% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 17:59
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28% NM 46.89%EV -6.96% E -3.57% K -7.33% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.40%EV -10.37% E -2.88% K -3.99% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -9.61% E -2.91% K -4.18% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28% NM 46.89%EV -6.96% E -3.57% K -7.33% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.40%EV -10.37% E -2.88% K -3.99% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.71%EV -9.61% E -2.91% K -4.18% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-06 17:54
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55% NM 47.75%EV -7.44% E -3.83% K -7.91% G +0.000%3.68I 27.17% NM 25.17%EV -8.38% E -2.28% K -3.13% G +0.000%3.42I 29.24% NM 27.08%EV -6.33% E -1.85% K -2.61% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 18:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36% NM 47.21%EV -8.87% E -4.64% K -9.75% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.05%EV -10.37% E -2.88% K -3.99% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.74%EV -10.98% E -3.38% K -4.88% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-06 19:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36% NM 47.21%EV -8.87% E -4.64% K -9.75% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.05%EV -10.37% E -2.88% K -3.99% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.74%EV -10.98% E -3.38% K -4.88% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-06 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64% NM 49.51%EV -12.69% E -6.93% K -15.29% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.84%EV -5.39% E -1.42% K -1.92% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.65%EV -6.87% E -2.02% K -2.86% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-06 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerAmérica Mineiro (Local)Londrina (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.86I 53.76% NM 46.30%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.61%2.96I 33.78% NM 29.09%16.1%2026-07-06 17:50