The School of OddsLanguage:English
América Mineiro v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 45.36%2.20fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%45.46%45.30%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.932.022.012.1151.81%49.47%49.75%47.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV -0.999%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.333%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.25%24.71%24.74%26.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.654.0029.41%27.13%27.40%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 29.89%3.35fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.83%29.96%31.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.063.053.2034.48%32.64%32.79%31.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.57%EV -4.29%E -2.03%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.99%E -0.502%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.14%EV -4.65%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-13 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-13 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-13 21:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.68%EV -7.92%E -3.90%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -2.98%E -0.760%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -9.14%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 21:44 |
| betano_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 21:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.63%EV -10.64%E -5.40%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -2.24%E -0.566%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-13 21:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -10.64%E -5.40%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -12.45%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |