A Escola das Odds

América Mineiro v Londrina

Início: 2026-07-13 22:00 UTC

Final: América Mineiro 1–1 Londrina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

América Mineiro (Local)

Previsão 45.36%2.20odd justa
EV -4.29%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -3.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.42%45.46%45.30%46.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.932.022.012.1151.81%49.47%49.75%47.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Londrina (Visitante)

Previsão 24.75%4.04odd justa
EV -0.999%
Vantagem -0.250%
Kelly -0.333%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.25%24.71%24.74%26.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.693.654.0029.41%27.13%27.40%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.89%3.35odd justa
EV -4.35%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.19%29.83%29.96%31.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.063.053.2034.48%32.64%32.79%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.57%EV -4.29%E -2.03%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.99%E -0.502%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.14%EV -4.65%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 21:45
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 21:54
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 21:55
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 21:55
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-13 21:50
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 21:54
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 21:55
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:54
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:54
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:54
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:54
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:55
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 21:54
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 21:34
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 21:54
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 21:54
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 21:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 21:55
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.68%EV -7.92%E -3.90%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 21:45
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -2.98%E -0.760%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -9.14%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 21:55
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 21:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 21:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 21:45
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 21:54
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 21:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 21:54
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 21:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 21:55
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 21:54
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 21:44
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 21:44
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 21:55
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 21:54
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 21:54
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 46.63%EV -10.64%E -5.40%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -2.24%E -0.566%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 21:53
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -10.64%E -5.40%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-13 21:54
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-13 21:54
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 21:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 21:54
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 21:55
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -12.45%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 21:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-07-13 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-07-13 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-07-13 21:55
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-07-13 21:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-07-13 21:55