La escuela de los momiosEspañol
América Mineiro v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 45.36%2.20momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.42%45.46%45.30%46.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.022.012.1151.81%49.47%49.75%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 24.75%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.999%
Ventaja -0.250%
Kelly -0.333%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.25%24.71%24.74%26.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.654.0029.41%27.13%27.40%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.89%3.35momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%29.83%29.96%31.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.063.053.2034.48%32.64%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.57%EV -4.29%E -2.03%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.99%E -0.502%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.14%EV -4.65%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-13 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-13 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-13 21:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.68%EV -7.92%E -3.90%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -2.98%E -0.760%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -9.14%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 21:44 |
| betano_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 21:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.63%EV -10.64%E -5.40%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -2.24%E -0.566%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-13 21:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -10.64%E -5.40%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-13 21:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-13 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -12.45%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-07-13 21:55 |