L’École des cotes

América Mineiro v Londrina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-13 22:00 UTC

Score final : América Mineiro 1–1 Londrina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

América Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 45.36%2.20cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -3.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.42%45.46%45.30%46.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.022.012.1151.81%49.47%49.75%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Londrina (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.75%4.04cote équitable
EV -0.999%
Avantage -0.250%
Kelly -0.333%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.25%24.71%24.74%26.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.693.654.0029.41%27.13%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.89%3.35cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.19%29.83%29.96%31.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.063.053.2034.48%32.64%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.57%EV -4.29%E -2.03%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.99%E -0.502%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.14%EV -4.65%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 21:45
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -5.85%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 21:54
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 21:55
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 21:55
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-13 21:50
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 21:54
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 21:55
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:54
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:54
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:54
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:54
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:55
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.56%E -3.18%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 21:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 21:54
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 21:34
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 21:54
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 21:54
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 21:55
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 21:55
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.68%EV -7.92%E -3.90%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 21:45
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -2.98%E -0.760%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -9.14%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 21:55
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 21:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 21:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 21:45
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 21:54
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 21:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 21:54
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 21:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 21:55
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 21:54
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 21:44
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.34%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 21:44
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 21:55
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 21:54
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.32%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 21:54
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 46.63%EV -10.64%E -5.40%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -2.24%E -0.566%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 21:53
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -10.64%E -5.40%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -14.61%E -4.24%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-13 21:54
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.84%E -2.90%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-13 21:54
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 21:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 21:54
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.33%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 21:55
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -12.45%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -4.35%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 21:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-07-13 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-07-13 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-07-13 21:55
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-07-13 21:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-07-13 21:55