Language:English
América Mineiro v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%47.06%46.89%49.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.982.0554.64%50.66%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)
Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -0.475%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.90%25.02%26.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.653.9529.41%27.40%27.40%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.04%28.10%29.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.69%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América Mineiro (Local): 46.95%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 24.96%; Draw: 28.09%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.95, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.57%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.40%E -0.355%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.94%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -8.99%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 23:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -3.90%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -3.90%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 22:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 23:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -14.08%E -7.70%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.65%E -0.679%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -14.08%E -7.70%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53% | 0.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53% | 0.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53% | 0.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |