A Escola das Odds

América Mineiro v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Início: 2026-05-03 23:30 UTC

Final: América Mineiro 1–2 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

América Mineiro (Local)

Previsão 46.95%2.13odd justa
EV -3.75%
Vantagem -1.83%
Kelly -3.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%47.06%46.89%49.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.971.982.0554.64%50.66%50.51%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)

Previsão 24.96%4.01odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.355%
Kelly -0.475%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.19%24.90%25.02%26.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.653.653.9529.41%27.40%27.40%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.09%3.56odd justa
EV -3.94%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.03%28.04%28.10%29.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.69%30.77%29.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:24
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 22:50
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.57%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.40%E -0.355%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.94%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 23:20
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -8.99%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 23:25
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 23:23
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 23:24
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -3.90%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:25
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -3.90%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:25
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 22:56
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 22:55
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 22:55
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 22:55
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 23:24
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 23:25
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 22:46
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 22:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 23:23
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 23:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 22:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 22:46
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 21:20
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 21:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 22:45
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 22:46
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -14.08%E -7.70%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.65%E -0.679%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -14.08%E -7.70%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-03 22:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53%0.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53%0.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53%0.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-05-03 23:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-03 23:25