La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
América Mineiro v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 46.95%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%47.06%46.89%49.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.971.982.0554.64%50.66%50.51%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)
Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.355%
Kelly -0.475%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.19%24.90%25.02%26.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.653.653.9529.41%27.40%27.40%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.09%3.56momio equitativo
EV -3.94%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%28.04%28.10%29.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.69%30.77%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.57%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.40%E -0.355%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.94%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -8.99%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 23:23 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -3.90%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -3.90%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 22:56 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 23:23 |
| Bovada | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 22:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 22:46 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -14.08%E -7.70%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.65%E -0.679%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -14.08%E -7.70%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-03 22:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53% | 0.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53% | 0.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53% | 0.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |