مدرسة الاحتمالات

América Mineiro v Clube de Regatas Brasil

البداية: 2026-05-03 23:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: América Mineiro 1–2 Clube de Regatas Brasil

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

América Mineiro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.95%2.13السعر العادل
EV -3.75%
الأفضلية -1.83%
Kelly -3.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.73%47.06%46.89%49.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.971.982.0554.64%50.66%50.51%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.96%4.01السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.355%
Kelly -0.475%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.19%24.90%25.02%26.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.653.653.9529.41%27.40%27.40%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.09%3.56السعر العادل
EV -3.94%
الأفضلية -1.15%
Kelly -1.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.03%28.04%28.10%29.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.69%30.77%29.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:24
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 22:50
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.57%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.40%E -0.355%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -3.94%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 23:20
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -8.99%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 23:25
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 23:23
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 23:24
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -3.90%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:25
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -3.90%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:25
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 22:56
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 22:55
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 22:55
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 22:55
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 23:24
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 23:25
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -7.98%E -4.07%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 22:46
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 22:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 23:23
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 23:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 22:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 22:46
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 21:20
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 21:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 22:45
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.80%E -5.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 22:46
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -14.08%E -7.70%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -2.65%E -0.679%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -14.08%E -7.70%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -12.63%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -19.10%E -6.63%K -10.16%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-03 22:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53%0.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53%0.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53%0.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-05-03 23:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-03 23:25