Language:English
América Mineiro v Botafogo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 46.60%2.15fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.83%46.56%46.64%47.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.0552.36%50.11%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botafogo (Visit)
Prediction 24.56%4.07fair odd
EV +3.89%
Edge +0.919%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 4.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.70%24.53%24.61%26.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.763.754.2329.41%26.62%26.67%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.92%28.91%28.75%30.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.153.3035.71%31.78%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América Mineiro (Local): 46.60%; Botafogo (Visit): 24.56%; Draw: 28.85%. For Botafogo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.76%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.70%EV +3.89%E +0.919%K +1.20%G +0.047% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 20:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -0.535%E -0.132%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.99%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 20:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.09%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.77%EV -8.15%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -8.27%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.72%EV -10.07%E -5.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.90%EV -10.00%E -3.21%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.67%E -4.42%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.36%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -19.23%E -6.87%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 10:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |