La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
América Mineiro v Botafogo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 46.60%2.15momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -4.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.83%46.56%46.64%47.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.002.002.0552.36%50.11%50.00%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Botafogo (Visitante)
Predicción 24.56%4.07momio equitativo
EV +3.89%
Ventaja +0.919%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.70%24.53%24.61%26.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.763.754.2329.41%26.62%26.67%23.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.85%3.47momio equitativo
EV -4.81%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.92%28.91%28.75%30.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.153.3035.71%31.78%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.76%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.70%EV +3.89%E +0.919%K +1.20%G +0.047% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 20:34 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -0.535%E -0.132%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.99%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 20:34 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.09%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.77%EV -8.15%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -8.27%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 20:40 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.72%EV -10.07%E -5.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.90%EV -10.00%E -3.21%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.67%E -4.42%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.36%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -19.23%E -6.87%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 10:34 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |