L’École des cotesFrançais
América Mineiro v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
América Mineiro (Local)
Prévision 46.60%2.15cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -4.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.83%46.56%46.64%47.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.002.002.0552.36%50.11%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.56%4.07cote équitable
EV +3.89%
Avantage +0.919%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.047%
avec la cote maximale 4.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.70%24.53%24.61%26.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.763.754.2329.41%26.62%26.67%23.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.85%3.47cote équitable
EV -4.81%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.92%28.91%28.75%30.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.153.153.3035.71%31.78%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.76%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.70%EV +3.89%E +0.919%K +1.20%G +0.047% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 20:34 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -0.535%E -0.132%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.99%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 20:34 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.09%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.77%EV -8.15%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -8.27%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 20:40 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.72%EV -10.07%E -5.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.90%EV -10.00%E -3.21%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.67%E -4.42%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.36%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -19.23%E -6.87%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 10:34 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |