مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
América Mineiro v Botafogo
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
América Mineiro (المضيف)
التنبؤ 46.60%2.15السعر العادل
EV -4.48%
الأفضلية -2.18%
Kelly -4.27%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.83%46.56%46.64%47.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.002.002.0552.36%50.11%50.00%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Botafogo (الضيف)
التنبؤ 24.56%4.07السعر العادل
EV +3.89%
الأفضلية +0.919%
Kelly +1.20%
النمو +0.047%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.23
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.70%24.53%24.61%26.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.763.754.2329.41%26.62%26.67%23.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.85%3.47السعر العادل
EV -4.81%
الأفضلية -1.46%
Kelly -2.09%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.92%28.91%28.75%30.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.153.153.3035.71%31.78%31.75%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.76%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.70%EV +3.89%E +0.919%K +1.20%G +0.047% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV +3.15%E +0.750%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 20:34 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -0.535%E -0.132%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -1.76%E -0.441%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -2.99%E -0.757%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 20:34 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 20:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -5.45%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -5.88%E -2.91%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 20:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.90%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -12.02%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.09%EV -6.34%E -3.16%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.77%EV -8.15%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -8.27%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-01 20:40 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 20:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.72%EV -10.07%E -5.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.90%EV -10.00%E -3.21%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.68%EV -8.21%E -4.17%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.81%EV -8.67%E -4.42%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.13%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-01 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.36%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.48%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-01 20:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -7.74%E -3.91%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -11.00%E -5.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -14.04%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -19.23%E -6.87%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-01 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.81%E -3.40%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 10:34 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.14%E -4.69%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.50%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.70%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-01 20:19 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 20:55 |