Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 3.05
assuming max odds 3.06
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vitoria (Local): 35.85%; Corinthians (Visit): 32.45%; Draw: 31.70%. For Corinthians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.71%EV -2.86%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.25%EV -2.64%E -0.879%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -4.27%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -6.86%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.35%EV -4.29%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -1.01%E -0.332%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.20%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.98%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.20%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.98%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.64%E -0.879%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 17:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 22:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.87%EV -3.00%E -0.981%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 13:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 05:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.24%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.83%E -4.66%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.18%E -4.97%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.15%EV -9.78%E -3.52%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 22:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -13.97%E -5.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -13.97%E -5.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -14.00%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 22:55 |