La scuola delle quote

Vitoria v Corinthians

Inizio: 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC

Finale: Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vitoria (Casa)

Previsione 35.85%2.79quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.517%
Kelly -0.813%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.82%35.81%35.80%37.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.612.622.7541.67%38.27%38.17%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Corinthians (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.45%3.08quota equa
EV -1.01%
Vantaggio -0.332%
Kelly -0.494%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.58%32.50%32.50%33.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.852.853.0537.74%35.12%35.09%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.70%3.15quota equa
EV -3.00%
Vantaggio -0.981%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.65%31.68%31.70%32.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.942.953.0636.36%34.05%33.90%32.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 22:25
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 22:25
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.71%EV -2.86%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.25%EV -2.64%E -0.879%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -4.27%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 22:40
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:49
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -6.86%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:40
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.35%EV -4.29%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -1.01%E -0.332%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.20%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.98%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 22:45
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.20%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.98%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 22:45
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.64%E -0.879%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 10:00
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 22:40
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:44
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 22:40
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 22:35
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:50
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:50
Bovada2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:41
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:40
BetAnything2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:40
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 22:25
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:45
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 22:35
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 22:35
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 17:15
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.87%EV -3.00%E -0.981%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:29
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:45
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:39
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 05:15
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 22:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 22:25
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.24%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 22:39
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 22:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 22:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 22:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.83%E -4.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.18%E -4.97%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.15%EV -9.78%E -3.52%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 22:32
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -13.97%E -5.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -13.97%E -5.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -14.00%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 22:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%0.2%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%1.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72%4.1%2026-04-18 22:55