La escuela de los momios

Vitoria v Corinthians

Inicio: 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC

Final: Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Predicción 35.85%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.517%
Kelly -0.813%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.82%35.81%35.80%37.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.622.7541.67%38.27%38.17%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Corinthians (Visitante)

Predicción 32.45%3.08momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.332%
Kelly -0.494%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.58%32.50%32.50%33.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.852.853.0537.74%35.12%35.09%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.70%3.15momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -0.981%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.65%31.68%31.70%32.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.953.0636.36%34.05%33.90%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 22:25
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 22:25
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.71%EV -2.86%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.25%EV -2.64%E -0.879%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -4.27%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 22:40
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:49
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -6.86%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:40
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.35%EV -4.29%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -1.01%E -0.332%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.20%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.98%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 22:45
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.20%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.98%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 22:45
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.64%E -0.879%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 10:00
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 22:40
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:44
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 22:40
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 22:35
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:50
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:50
Bovada2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:41
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:40
BetAnything2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:40
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 22:25
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:45
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 22:35
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 22:35
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 17:15
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.87%EV -3.00%E -0.981%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:29
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:45
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:39
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 05:15
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 22:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 22:25
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.24%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 22:39
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 22:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 22:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 22:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.83%E -4.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.18%E -4.97%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.15%EV -9.78%E -3.52%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 22:32
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -13.97%E -5.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -13.97%E -5.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -14.00%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 22:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%0.2%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%1.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72%4.1%2026-04-18 22:55