L’École des cotes

Vitoria v Corinthians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC

Score final : Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Prévision 35.85%2.79cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.517%
Kelly -0.813%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.82%35.81%35.80%37.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.622.7541.67%38.27%38.17%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Corinthians (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.45%3.08cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.332%
Kelly -0.494%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.58%32.50%32.50%33.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.852.853.0537.74%35.12%35.09%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.70%3.15cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -0.981%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.65%31.68%31.70%32.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.942.953.0636.36%34.05%33.90%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 22:25
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -1.42%E -0.517%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 22:25
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.71%EV -2.86%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.25%EV -2.64%E -0.879%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -4.27%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 22:40
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:49
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 22:25
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -3.22%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -6.86%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:40
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.35%EV -4.29%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -1.01%E -0.332%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.20%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.98%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 22:45
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -4.65%E -1.75%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.20%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.98%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 22:45
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.64%E -0.879%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 10:00
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 22:40
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:44
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 22:40
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 22:35
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 22:50
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -5.01%E -1.89%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:50
Bovada2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:41
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:40
BetAnything2.64I 37.88%NM 35.57%EV -5.37%E -2.03%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.05%EV -7.12%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:40
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 22:25
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:45
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 22:35
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -6.08%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 22:35
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 17:15
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.87%EV -3.00%E -0.981%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:29
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:45
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 05:35
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 22:39
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 05:15
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 22:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 22:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 22:25
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.80%E -2.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.24%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 22:39
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 22:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.59%E -3.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 22:25
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 22:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:15
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 22:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.38%E -4.15%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.83%E -4.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.18%E -4.97%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.15%EV -9.78%E -3.52%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 22:32
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -13.97%E -5.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%EV -13.97%E -5.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.96%EV -14.00%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.65%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 22:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%0.2%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-04-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-04-18 22:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%1.5%2026-04-18 22:50
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72%4.1%2026-04-18 22:55