La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Vasco da Gama (Casa)
Previsione 52.05%1.92quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.862%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.79%52.01%52.10%53.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.791.801.8959.52%55.85%55.56%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Atletico Paranaense (Trasferta)
Previsione 20.14%4.97quota equa
EV +1.88%
Vantaggio +0.372%
Kelly +0.464%
Crescita +0.009%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.06
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.10%20.20%20.09%21.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.564.605.0624.39%21.93%21.74%19.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.82%3.59quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.352%
Kelly -0.490%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.86%27.79%27.81%28.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.373.383.5532.26%29.70%29.63%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.12%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.10%EV +1.88%E +0.372%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -3.20%E -0.919%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.33%EV -2.34%E -0.483%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.48%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 23:09 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.91%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.81%EV -3.95%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 23:10 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.38%EV -1.63%E -0.862%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.88%EV -6.37%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -2.64%E -0.754%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:13 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 23:12 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 23:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.95%EV -10.48%E -6.09%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 23:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.03%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.03%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.81%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.42%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -13.42%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.85%EV -12.56%E -7.48%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.50%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.65%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-10 23:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -15.43%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -17.45%E -4.25%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:24 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.76% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 23:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.61% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |