L’École des cotesFrançais
Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vasco da Gama (Local)
Prévision 52.05%1.92cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.862%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.79%52.01%52.10%53.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.791.801.8959.52%55.85%55.56%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.14%4.97cote équitable
EV +1.88%
Avantage +0.372%
Kelly +0.464%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 5.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.10%20.20%20.09%21.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.564.605.0624.39%21.93%21.74%19.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.82%3.59cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.352%
Kelly -0.490%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.86%27.79%27.81%28.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.383.5532.26%29.70%29.63%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.12%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.10%EV +1.88%E +0.372%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -3.20%E -0.919%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.33%EV -2.34%E -0.483%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.48%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 23:09 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.91%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.81%EV -3.95%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 23:10 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.38%EV -1.63%E -0.862%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.88%EV -6.37%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -2.64%E -0.754%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:13 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 23:12 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 23:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.95%EV -10.48%E -6.09%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 23:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.03%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.03%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.81%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.42%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -13.42%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.85%EV -12.56%E -7.48%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.50%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.65%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-10 23:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -15.43%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -17.45%E -4.25%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:24 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.76% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 23:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.61% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |