مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense

البداية: 2026-05-10 23:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Vasco da Gama 1–0 Atletico Paranaense

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vasco da Gama (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.05%1.92السعر العادل
EV -1.63%
الأفضلية -0.862%
Kelly -1.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.89

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.79%52.01%52.10%53.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.791.801.8959.52%55.85%55.56%52.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atletico Paranaense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.14%4.97السعر العادل
EV +1.88%
الأفضلية +0.372%
Kelly +0.464%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.10%20.20%20.09%21.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.104.564.605.0624.39%21.93%21.74%19.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.82%3.59السعر العادل
EV -1.25%
الأفضلية -0.352%
Kelly -0.490%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.86%27.79%27.81%28.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.373.383.5532.26%29.70%29.63%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.12%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.10%EV +1.88%E +0.372%K +0.464%G +0.009%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -3.20%E -0.919%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 23:15
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.33%EV -2.34%E -0.483%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 23:10
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.48%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:19
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 23:15
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 23:09
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.91%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.81%EV -3.95%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 23:19
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 23:19
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 23:19
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 23:19
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:39
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 23:10
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 23:14
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 23:14
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 23:15
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 22:14
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 23:14
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 21:29
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.38%EV -1.63%E -0.862%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.88%EV -6.37%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -2.64%E -0.754%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 23:19
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 20:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 23:04
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 23:15
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 22:04
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 21:59
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 23:14
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 23:14
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 23:14
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 23:15
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 23:14
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 23:13
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 23:14
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 23:14
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 23:12
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 23:09
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 23:14
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 23:14
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 23:14
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.95%EV -10.48%E -6.09%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 23:03
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.03%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.03%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 23:15
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.81%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-10 23:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.42%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 22:14
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -13.42%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 22:09
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 22:14
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.85%EV -12.56%E -7.48%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.50%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.65%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-10 23:04
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -15.43%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:14
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -17.45%E -4.25%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 22:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-05-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-05-10 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-05-10 23:24
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-05-10 23:24
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.76%0.9%2026-05-10 23:04
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.61%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.7%2026-05-10 23:19