La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vasco da Gama (Local)
Predicción 52.05%1.92momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.79%52.01%52.10%53.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.791.801.8959.52%55.85%55.56%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)
Predicción 20.14%4.97momio equitativo
EV +1.88%
Ventaja +0.372%
Kelly +0.464%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.10%20.20%20.09%21.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.564.605.0624.39%21.93%21.74%19.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.82%3.59momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.352%
Kelly -0.490%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.86%27.79%27.81%28.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.383.5532.26%29.70%29.63%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.12%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.10%EV +1.88%E +0.372%K +0.464%G +0.009% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -3.20%E -0.919%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.33%EV -2.34%E -0.483%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.48%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -3.35%E -0.698%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 23:09 |
| GTbets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.91%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.81%EV -3.95%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.29%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 23:10 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -4.36%E -0.917%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -3.71%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.25%E -0.352%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.38%EV -1.63%E -0.862%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.88%EV -6.37%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -2.64%E -0.754%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 23:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.38%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 23:13 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.36%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 23:12 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.39%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 23:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.08%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 23:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.95%EV -10.48%E -6.09%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -11.40%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.43%E -3.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 23:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.03%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.03%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.20%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 23:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.81%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -13.42%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.90%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -13.42%E -3.12%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.85%EV -12.56%E -7.48%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.50%EV -14.43%E -3.39%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.65%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-10 23:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -15.43%E -3.67%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -17.45%E -4.25%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 23:24 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.76% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 23:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.61% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 23:19 |